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	<title>Free Ballin' &#187; michael mandlin</title>
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	<description>Michael Mandlin is</description>
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		<title>Commentary on Henry Abbott&#8217;s Commentary of David Stern&#8217;s Claims</title>
		<link>http://freeballinblog.com/basketball-commentary/commentary-on-henry-abbotts-commentary-of-david-sterns-claims/</link>
		<comments>http://freeballinblog.com/basketball-commentary/commentary-on-henry-abbotts-commentary-of-david-sterns-claims/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Feb 2010 21:48:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>mmandlin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BASKETBALL COMMENTARY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[allen iverson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[art modell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[basketball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[collective bargaining agreement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[david stern]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[freeballinblog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[henry abbott]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[michael mandlin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nba]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nfl]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[richard jefferson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trades]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freeballinblog.com/?p=1037</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Henry Abbott&#8217;s assessment of David Stern&#8217;s comments is clear and thoughtful.  Abbott and I also have the same problem with David Stern&#8217;s statements: Stern says the league is great shape in all respects and yet somehow the teams will lose around $400 million this year.  One comment Abbott made caught my attention: &#8220;What&#8217;s a fair [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Henry Abbott&#8217;s <a href="http://espn.go.com/blog/truehoop/post/_/id/13183/stern-proposition">assessment</a> of David Stern&#8217;s comments is clear and thoughtful.  Abbott and I also have the same problem with David Stern&#8217;s statements: Stern says the league is great shape in all respects and yet somehow the teams will lose around $400 million this year.  One comment Abbott made caught my attention:</p>
<p>&#8220;What&#8217;s a fair amount of money to pay the best basketball players in the  world? That&#8217;s something that would take a team of experts to determine,  and even then it would be one part guesswork. Maybe they are paid too  much. Maybe they are paid too little. Maybe the owners who lose money  are victims of the economy and the cost of international expansion.  Maybe they are victims of failing to control their own spending. Maybe  the owners have been bleeding cash, and some of the hurt must be passed  on to the players. On the other hand maybe it was just a couple of bad  years, and this is all a negotiating tactic.&#8221;</p>
<p>Abbott wants answers for meaningless questions.  How much should a player make?  What&#8217;s fair?  Without a free market a player&#8217;s true value cannot be determined.  While there is a salary cap in place, binds on bidding for international players (gee, where does Ricky Rubio play again?), and all those trade restrictions, the value of players is guesswork at best.  (Especially considering that player value is relative to team need—Antwan Jamison represents a huge waste of money for DC but might be of value to Cleveland.)  Trades can also help to correct stupid mistakes by general managers.  Without trade restrictions, players simply move to where they are most valued.  For example, this summer Rudy Gay will be given a maximum salary (mark my words) to be the cornerstone of a franchise.  By the time the current Collective Bargaining Agreement expires in summer &#8217;11 it will have become apparent that Gay can&#8217;t do the job and is just costing a team a bunch of money for limited returns.  But to a contender that&#8217;s looking for that last piece to put them over the top—the role Richard Jefferson was supposed to play for San Antonio this year—the price might be worth it.</p>
<p>Of course a player&#8217;s value isn&#8217;t limited to his ability to help his team win games.  It&#8217;s not unreasonable for a player&#8217;s marketability, among other things, to come into play.  And yeah, that thinking led Memphis to sign Allen Iverson, but that doesn&#8217;t mean the idea is invalid.  It just means Memphis Grizzlies management is stupid.  Also, I suspect that since there are merely thirty potential bidders (teams), with disparate spending capabilities and revenue streams, even dissolving restrictions would only give us a good, not great, sense of a player&#8217;s value.  If there were a thousand potential bidders, we&#8217;d have a more accurate valuation.  (This and the prospect of French cheerleaders are the only points for European expansion.)  But since expansion of any sort isn&#8217;t immanent, the best way I can think of to deal with this small v. big market value and ownership means disparity is to impose a powerful revenue sharing system and luxury tax.  How and how much?  I don&#8217;t know; I can&#8217;t; we can&#8217;t.  Abbott says owners are very secretive of their balance sheets.</p>
<p>But whether it&#8217;s a two dollars-for-dollar luxury tax or whether taxes and league revenue are distributed on a sliding scale correlating to market size, there&#8217;s a way to balance the playing field.  They don&#8217;t even need to make these details public; figure out amongst themselves how they want to split up the pot—no one other than team owners care.  Instead, the salary cap, owners/players revenue sharing plan, and other stupid aspects of the CBA makes it seem like there are moral questions to consider, like what percentage of total league revenue is it <em>fair</em> for the players to get.  It&#8217;s an utterly meaningless question: players should make whatever the market will bear; the balance sheets of owners are between them and the IRS.  It&#8217;s not like this thinking is so radical; Art Modell once said NFL franchise owners were Republicans who vote Socialist.</p>
<p>Why have owners never come up with this step?  Off the top of my head I can think of three quick possibilities:</p>
<p>1) they feel it&#8217;s just too complicated (and requires too much effort and annual tinkering) to come up with a tax/revenue sharing system that enables owners with a net worth of $80 million (Peter Holt &#8211; San Antonio) to compete with billionaire owners.</p>
<p>2) their claims of losses and hardship are complete bullsh*t and the system currently in place is very beneficial for them.  Or at the very least, the current system isn&#8217;t <em>hurting</em> them.  In this case, their labor negotiations are just about making more money—I don&#8217;t have a problem with this.</p>
<p>3) they are (as a group) far less intelligent than one might expect from some of the richest people on Earth.  This would indicate that a good number of these owners owe their fortunes to fortune—that they&#8217;re just a bunch of lucky bastards.</p>
<p>My guess?  A combo of all three, but more the latter two.  Yes, balancing the playing field might be tricky, but it&#8217;s doable.  But more than that, I think some owners are probably doing quite well in this system and have no interest in changing it to benefit their competition.  And there&#8217;s no question about the third, at least in some cases.  Some owners are fortunate sons—Charles Dolan&#8217;s bills are mostly inherited—and perhaps some are just incredibly lucky, and their wealth isn&#8217;t indicative of their business acumen.</p>
<p>Really, I wouldn&#8217;t care a wit about this stuff, if it didn&#8217;t have a direct impact on the quality of the NBA game.  But it does, and I do.</p>
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		<title>David Stern Press Conference &#8211; Comment on Revenue and Expenditures</title>
		<link>http://freeballinblog.com/basketball-commentary/david-stern-press-conference-comment-on-revenue-and-expenditure/</link>
		<comments>http://freeballinblog.com/basketball-commentary/david-stern-press-conference-comment-on-revenue-and-expenditure/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Feb 2010 02:01:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>mmandlin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BASKETBALL COMMENTARY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[basketball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[billy hunter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[collective bargaining agreement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[david stern]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[freeballinblog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kevin Garnett]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[michael mandlin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nba]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nba player's union]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freeballinblog.com/?p=1033</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Stern spent the first few minutes of the press conference talking about how well the league had been doing &#8211; which he always does &#8211; especially internationally &#8211; which he always always always does.  The whole world is embracing the NBA, yadda yadda.  He even said that the Association&#8217;s revenue hadn&#8217;t been hit as hard [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Stern spent the first few minutes of the press conference talking about how well the league had been doing &#8211; which he always does &#8211; especially internationally &#8211; which he always always always does.  The whole world is embracing the NBA, yadda yadda.  He even said that the Association&#8217;s revenue hadn&#8217;t been hit as hard as initially predicted &#8211; after the market crash.  Then he turned to Collective Bargaining Agreement negotiations with the Player&#8217;s Union and said that the league expects to lose around $400 million this year.  Henry Abbott astutely asked Stern, &#8220;huh?&#8221;  Well, essentially: he asked how it was the league was doing so well and also doing so poorly.  Stern said that revenue had not changed, that wasn&#8217;t the problem, but the cost structure, the expenditures&#8230;  Basically, the league&#8217;s income isn&#8217;t changing but their costs are rising.  Part of this, Stern said, was due to the cost of investment abroad &#8211; I think he said investment in securing the new revenue, opening up new offices abroad, hiring new employees, shipping employees over there, etc.  So really this means that the league has chosen to invest more money abroad and because of that investment, players need to make less money.  Right?  Am I missing something?</p>
<p>For one thing, showing losses on your books doesn&#8217;t mean your company/business model is failing.  The NBA offices and owners are spending capital to make long-term improvements in the league, and that costs money.  Why is that the concern of the Player&#8217;s Association?  It is, sort of, but only because of past blunders.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t know much about common business practices, deals with unions, and such, and I don&#8217;t know the details of the NBA&#8217;s CBA; but it seems to me that the salary cap is the biggest problem here.  As I see it, it&#8217;s not the responsibility of labor to worry about the overall income of the company.  That&#8217;s management&#8217;s problem.  But in submitting to the owners in previous agreements, accepting a salary cap, they also agreed that that cap would be based on league revenue; the players get 57%.  That doesn&#8217;t and never did make any sense to me.  They&#8217;re agreeing to receive a percentage of the overall revenue, but they don&#8217;t have a say in how the league&#8217;s business is conducted, how the owners choose to invest revenue.  Basically, the players allowed themselves to be subject to the ups and downs of the league without getting a seat at the table.  I don&#8217;t think having a seat at that table is really anything the players ever wanted, or should want.  Leave the direction of the league to ownership, sure, but players allowing their salaries to be <em>directly</em> tied to the owners decisions about expenditures is just silly.</p>
<p>Now of course employee payroll is always based on the state of the companies for which they work, but not directly, not as a collectively agreed percentage of revenue.  Rather, without a salary cap, the free market would determine the value of a player.  Why not just let supply and demand determine value?  Of course, that an old issue, fifteen years old, to be exact.  Ever since Kevin Garnett signed that immense contract (it was what, $126 million over 7 years?) back in &#8217;95 (I believe) ownership has been loudly freaking out about player salaries.  The real problem there is that owners couldn&#8217;t keep other owners from breaking ranks and offering huge salaries without colluding.  But small market teams and owners who are only $100 millionaires, not $800 millionaires or billionaires, didn&#8217;t want to compete with Mark Cuban or big market teams.  The answer to this was never to institute a salary cap and unnecessarily entangle league income with player salaries.  The league should have just instituted smarter revenue sharing practices with <em>huge </em>luxury tax penalties.  The luxury taxes are currently dollar for dollar.  Well, go ahead and get rid of the salary cap and require owners to pay $2 for every $1 they go over the luxury tax line.  So when the Knicks spend $100 million and the cap is $50 million, instead of the other owners crying foul, they can just divvy up the $100 million in luxury tax the Knicks will be paying them.</p>
<p>This is way too long already, so I&#8217;ll just stop here.  In the end, the labor discussions for the next CBA will probably look like they always do: owners being dishonest about their financial burdens, players being stupid enough to put themselves in a position to be smacked around by ownership.  That Billy Hunter is still the head of the Union ten years after he f#cked up the last CBA indicates how things will turn out this time.</p>
<p>And I wouldn&#8217;t give a damn about any of this, except that it directly impacts the quality of play, the quality of talent the teams can put on the floor.</p>
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		<title>Why Amar&#8217;e Stoudemire Staying With The Suns This Season Is Key, In Brief</title>
		<link>http://freeballinblog.com/basketball-commentary/why-amare-stoudemire-staying-with-the-suns-this-season-is-key-in-brief/</link>
		<comments>http://freeballinblog.com/basketball-commentary/why-amare-stoudemire-staying-with-the-suns-this-season-is-key-in-brief/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Feb 2010 21:13:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>mmandlin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BASKETBALL COMMENTARY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[basketball]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[dwayne wade]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freeballinblog.com/?p=1040</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If Amar&#8217;e Stoudemire goes to Cleveland, it would seemingly increase the chances that LeBron will stay in Cleveland.  And who wants that?  I mean, I know a guy from Columbus Ohio, but other than him, who wants that?  If Amar&#8217;e sticks in Phoenix, he&#8217;ll be pissed, LeBron will be pissed, Wade will be pissed, and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If Amar&#8217;e Stoudemire goes to Cleveland, it would seemingly increase the chances that LeBron will stay in Cleveland.  And who wants that?  I mean, I know a guy from Columbus Ohio, but other than him, who wants that?  If Amar&#8217;e sticks in Phoenix, he&#8217;ll be pissed, LeBron will be pissed, Wade will be pissed, and that&#8217;s how I want it, because I want one of them in NYC, preferably LeBron.  I&#8217;m not a Knicks fan, mind you, but he sure as hell isn&#8217;t going to end up in Houston, so my druthers call for him in Mike D&#8217;Antoni&#8217;s 7 Seconds or Less offense on a team that will spend tons of money to win.  And I would be able to see him on my local television station.  Also, though I&#8217;m not a Knicks fan, I&#8217;m a New Yorker and I root for New Yorkers&#8217; happiness.  The only bad thing about LeBron coming here is that Knicks games would become one of the biggest tourist attractions in the biggest tourist city in the world (at least until the dollar rebounds).  Can you imagine how hard it would be to get tickets?  And you&#8217;d have to make choices like &#8220;My kids&#8217; college tuition or season tickets in the upper decks?&#8221;  And there&#8217;s really no question there.  So basically, LeBron coming to New York will make me a bad father—someday.  Basically, I&#8217;ll have to hold off on kids until I&#8217;m 40 if LeBron comes to NYC.</p>
<p>The only thing that would be better than LeBron in New York (other than him being in Houston) would be for him to be in Brooklyn on the Nets, a team with even more money (via Russia w. love) and Beyonce on the sidelines.  Of course, there is no team in Brooklyn, so this would take an incredible leap of faith on LeBron&#8217;s part, and wouldn&#8217;t really be worth the risk that he end up in NJ for years and years.  No one should have to endure that.</p>
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		<title>Luis Scola, Larry Hughes, and the Summer of &#8217;05 &#8211; Part I</title>
		<link>http://freeballinblog.com/basketball-commentary/luis-scola-larry-hughes-and-the-summer-of-05/</link>
		<comments>http://freeballinblog.com/basketball-commentary/luis-scola-larry-hughes-and-the-summer-of-05/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Jan 2010 06:55:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>mmandlin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BASKETBALL COMMENTARY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carl Landry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cleveland cavaliers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[free agency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[freeballinblog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[houston rockets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Larry Hughes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LeBron James]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[luis scola]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[michael mandlin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[michael redd]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[milwaukee bucks]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[orlando magic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rashard Griffith]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ray allen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[salary cap incontinence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Seattle Supersonics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freeballinblog.com/?p=1013</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Most Rockets fans I chat with these days take it as a given that the Rockets will make every effort to re-sign Luis Scola this summer.  Now, as much as I like Scola, I don&#8217;t see why the Rockets would commit significant money or years to Scola when Carl Landry is going into the last [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Most Rockets fans I chat with these days take it as a given that the Rockets will make every effort to re-sign Luis Scola this summer.  Now, as much as I like Scola, I don&#8217;t see why the Rockets would commit significant money or years to Scola when Carl Landry is going into the last year of his contract.  But regardless of their interest, I think it highly unlikely Scola will be in Houston next year, because provided NBA teams come up with the necessary salary cap space, he is going to get a Larry Hughes contract.  In fact, I think you&#8217;re going to see a ton of Hughes contracts this summer, and a few key Michael Redd contracts, too.</p>
<p><strong>Background</strong></p>
<div>To jog your memory, in the summer of &#8217;05 the Cavs were looking for a sharpshooting guard to compliment LeBron&#8217;s He-Can-Do-Everything-But-Shoot game.  And as it happened, Ray Allen and Michael Redd were on the market (note: this is back when Redd had a full compliment of ligaments and cartilage).  At that point, Cavs management was still handling LeBron like a 15 year-old on a second date with a Playmate&#8212;the range of possible outcomes stretching from a happy future in plastics to wetting oneself.  And the Cavs wet themselves.</div>
<div>They offered Ray Allen the max, but he turned it down, taking the max in Seattle, instead.  So the Cavs made a big push for Michael Redd, offering him the max as well.  It would have been kind of like the Rashard Griffith deal in Orlando: hugely overpaying a player because he&#8217;s a great fit.  But Redd rejected the offer, staying with the Bucks for the max.  So the Cavs went out and signed Larry Hughes for $70 million over five years.  God that was a terrible move, and not just in hindsight.  Forget that Hughes had been an underachiever for his entire career until that contract year, the Cavs were looking for a shooter (they <em>proclaimed</em> it) and Hughes was a terrible shooter.  He made 28% from 3 that season (he&#8217;s currently at 31% for his career) and 43% overall.  And yes, his injuries while with the Cavs also played a role in his ineffectiveness, but considering that Hughes had only played 70 games in a season twice in his career to that point (they signed him after he managed only 61 games in the &#8217;04 &#8211; &#8217;05 season), his frailty was hardly a surprise.</div>
<div></div>
<div></div>
<div><strong>As Things Currently Stand</strong></div>
<div></div>
<div></div>
<div>As I&#8217;ve mentioned numerous times before, almost all NBA teams suffer from salary cap incontinence; they simply can&#8217;t hold on to cap space.  They <em>have</em> to spend it.  In this case, even though the Cavs had the rights to LeBron James for two more seasons, they felt pressured to make a splash and put some big talent (or what they believed to be big talent) next to him.  But importantly, the biggest problem wasn&#8217;t the absurd salary, it was the years.  A five year commitment?  Insane.  And you&#8217;ll see plenty of that insanity this summer, if possible.</div>
<div>The big question of the summer is whether teams will have enough cap space to spend as stupidly as they so desperately want to.  In a normal market, unusually tight budgets and an unusually large pool of talent should drive down the price of that talent.  And right now there are only a handful of teams that project to have enough cap space to get a max player.  But from the gazillionty WHAT IF? NBA articles clogging the internet tubes, it <em>seems</em> that there are numerous legitimately plausible options for teams to create significant cap space.  And if there&#8217;s anything we know about NBA teams, it&#8217;s that they will spend if they possibly can.  Tomorrow I&#8217;ll take a look at some of the spending opportunities, including the opportunity to stuff the pockets of a certain long-haired Argentinian</div>
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		<title>In Portland, OR &#8211; Portlanders Choose Portland</title>
		<link>http://freeballinblog.com/road-writing/in-portland-or-portlanders-choose-portland/</link>
		<comments>http://freeballinblog.com/road-writing/in-portland-or-portlanders-choose-portland/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Mar 2009 22:46:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>mmandlin</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freeballinblog.com/?p=563</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Why are you here? I&#8217;ve asked so many people that question, over the last four months. Are you originally from Sacramento? Do you have family near Greenville? Was it Orlando, death, or tiki? I want to know why people are where they are. Family, school, work, and work-release are common answers. But people move to [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Why are you <em>here</em><span style="font-style: normal;">?  I&#8217;ve asked so many people that question, over the last four months.  Are you originally from Sacramento?  Do you have family near Greenville?  Was it Orlando, death, or tiki?  I want to know why people are where they are.  Family, school, work, and work-release are common answers.  But people move to Portland because it&#8217;s Portland; and more than any other city I&#8217;ve visited on this trip, understanding Portland is essential to understanding their Blazer fans, and the role the team plays in the community. </span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in; font-style: normal;">That people go to Portland for its own sake isn&#8217;t unique among the cities I&#8217;ve visited.  People go to Miami because it&#8217;s Miami, Asheville because it&#8217;s Asheville, even Atlanta, to a certain extent, because it&#8217;s Atlanta.  In each case, there&#8217;s something inherent to the city&#8217;s ethos, it&#8217;s ineffable “vibe”, that draws people.  And it&#8217;s a positive feedback cycle; when a bunch of people go to the same place, looking for the same vibe, they find it, and that vibe becomes ever more robust by virtue of their additions—which in turn makes the place even more attractive to the like-minded.  But unlike Miami and Atlanta, who struggle to create an NBA basketball culture, the Portland vibe draws Portlanders to the Rose Garden Arena and fuels their enthusiasm for the Trailblazers.</p>
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<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><span style="font-style: normal;">I was an exception, by the way.  I didn&#8217;t move to Portland because it&#8217;s Portland.  I lived in Portland last year because that&#8217;s where I was when I ran out of money; I think this is largely why I remained a visitor.  Even now, the irony that I am couchsurfing in a city in which I have an apartment—sublet through the NBA season—is appropriate, given my relationship with Portland.  It&#8217;s a queer relationship, I think, being an unintentional resident (seemingly the only one) in a place so many people long to inhabit.  It isn&#8217;t that I don&#8217;t like the Portland; I do, but I found it a might difficult to truly integrate myself in a place the primary attraction of which is drawing together people who want to be there.  Instead, I was a visitor in a city that has nothing for visitors.  Indeed, my father came to visit me a month after I arrived and the first day he asked me where we should go.  What was there to see in Portland?  I started, “Well, there&#8217;s&#8230;” but I couldn&#8217;t think of anything; I still can&#8217;t.  Save the roses, when in bloom, there&#8217;s almost nothing must-see in Portland.  It&#8217;s the </span><span style="font-style: normal;"><span>inverse</span></span><span style="font-style: normal;"> of New York City: a great place to live, but not to visit. </span></p>
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<p style="margin-bottom: 0in; font-style: normal;">Don&#8217;t take my word for it.  Ask any Portlander what there is to see in the city, and 90% of them will list Powell&#8217;s in the top five.  That&#8217;s Powell&#8217;s, the small chain of large bookstores.  “Well, have you been to Powell&#8217;s yet?”  Powell&#8217;s?  I should go to&#8230;buy a book?  Indeed, Powell&#8217;s is the answer to many questions, in Portland.  Just go on Citysearch and look for a great inexpensive place to take a date in PDX.  That&#8217;s right: Powell&#8217;s, because nothing says romance like loitering in a bookstore.</p>
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<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><span style="font-style: normal;">Of course I don&#8217;t make a practice of telling locals I feel this way, or even saying it aloud, because any time I&#8217;ve said anything remotely ungushing about Portland, someone looks at me with terrible hurt in their face, as though I had just said their newborn baby looks like an embryo chicken.  They shouldn&#8217;t feel that way.  Being a great place to live, but not visit, is a boon to everyone in the city who doesn&#8217;t work in the tourism sector.  Trust me, I&#8217;m a Newyorker who loathes the subway and walks everywhere.  But even I find it necessary to take the subway from West 59</span><sup><span style="font-style: normal;">th</span></sup><span style="font-style: normal;"> street to West 23</span><sup><span style="font-style: normal;">rd</span></sup><span style="font-style: normal;"> street, to avoid the gridlock of tourism hell that is Midtown Manhattan.</span></p>
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<p style="margin-bottom: 0in; font-style: normal;">Oh, I have affection for Portland, as well.  Decent Ethiopian cuisine within an hour&#8217;s drive of great hiking and skiing, and under two hours from the pacific ocean?  Gotta respect that.  In general, I find Portland to be a nice place to spend one&#8217;s time when not luxuriating in the Oregon outdoors.  Also, it&#8217;s hard not to find Portland&#8217;s earnestness charming—and highly amusing.  I&#8217;ve never been to a place more desirous of distinctness; and that need spills into every conversation you&#8217;ll have with a Portlander about their city.  It spills into the stands at the Rose Garden, too.</p>
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<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><span style="font-style: normal;">Some Portlanders speak of an all-but-imaginary tension between neophytes and natives, but I don&#8217;t see it.  Or if it&#8217;s there, the locals certainly aren&#8217;t helping to keep newbies away—not even dreaded Californians.  Whenever a local tells me about how things have changed, aren&#8217;t what they were, all these new people, they conclude by giving me a sales pitch for the city.  That&#8217;s why I feel comfortable anthropomorphizing Portland</span><span style="font-style: normal;">: every last person here gives the impression of being something more than a shareholder in their city.  In fact, Portland would best be defined as a city in which Portlanders live.  And I feel that watching the Blazers, whether at the Rose Garden or Claudia&#8217;s, is even more about celebrating Portland than basketball. </span></p>
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<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><span style="font-style: normal;">Oh, that isn&#8217;t to say they don&#8217;t love their hoops here; 814 straight sellouts attest to that.  I <em>am</em> curious about the reasons for the end of the streak and ebbing attendance, following it.  You might figure it was because the Rose Garden has 8,000 more seats than the Memorial Coliseum, but they <a href="http://www.basketballreference.com/teams/teamatt.htm?tm=por&amp;lg=n">remained close to capacity</a> in the new arena those first few years, despite the team&#8217;s decline.  But I still recall reading about empty seats.  Maybe there were a bunch of new corporate seats that weren&#8217;t regularly filled, when they stopped winning?  I&#8217;m not sure.  If it was difficult to get new Portlanders interested in the team, it may well have had a lot to do with them not winning, and the whole <a href="http://freeballinblog.com/basketball-commentary/a-tantalizing-ruben-sandwich/">Jail Blazers thing</a>—but I don&#8217;t think that quite covers it.  Every single Portland immigrant I&#8217;ve met in the last year-and-a-half is so excited to be here.  Finding a job—any job—friends, a place to live, a place in the community, for them just </span><em>being</em><span style="font-style: normal;"> here is destiny manifested; it&#8217;s winning.  It seems perfectly understandable then, that those new Portlanders, without any Blazers roots, weren&#8217;t filling the stadium for a losing team.  Losing was incongruous with their Portland experience.  They couldn&#8217;t identify with something that wasn&#8217;t on the way up.</span></p>
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<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><span style="font-style: normal;">They do now.  But I don&#8217;t think they&#8217;re fair-weather fans; they&#8217;re new fans, discovering something.  The Trailblazers marketing department knows it.  Their Rise with Us slogan is canny, but longtime fans don&#8217;t need it.  Rather, it&#8217;s a message that resonates with the transplants and their desire to immerse themselves in the local culture of the city.  They all want to be Portlanders.  And  Blazerness, the team encourages, is synonymous with Portlander-ness.  The Blazers&#8217; attendance figures indicate that it&#8217;s working, and so do other indicators of popularity.  I have no idea what the Blazers television ratings look like, but I&#8217;m told the <a href="http://www.blazersedge.com/">Blazers Edge</a> is the most popular NBA team blog around, and my Portlander friends who couldn&#8217;t care less about basketball, when I met them, are talking Blazers.  And I think the new fans will stick, long after Brandon “Beaver Cleaver” Roy retires.  [Seriously, is there an NBA player more likely to say, “gee, shucks”?  I think that's why they didn't trade for Richard Jefferson.  An NBA locker room can only sustain a certain number of non-cussing players before what's endearing corrupts the warrior spirit.  Those two and Greg Oden would have taken it over the edge.] </span></p>
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<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><span style="font-style: normal;">The combination of old faithfuls and new fans certainly makes for a great arena experience, a cacophony rivaled only by Oklahoma City and Utah, among the teams I&#8217;ve seen on this trek.  It&#8217;s a significant component of my holding on to my Portland apartment.  I&#8217;ll certainly never be a Blazer fan—I have a team—but it&#8217;s plenty fun to be in the thick of the movement.</span></p>
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