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	<title>Free Ballin' &#187; Larry Hughes</title>
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	<description>Michael Mandlin is</description>
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		<title>Luis Scola, Larry Hughes, and the Summer of &#8217;05 &#8211; Part I</title>
		<link>http://freeballinblog.com/basketball-commentary/luis-scola-larry-hughes-and-the-summer-of-05/</link>
		<comments>http://freeballinblog.com/basketball-commentary/luis-scola-larry-hughes-and-the-summer-of-05/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Jan 2010 06:55:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>mmandlin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BASKETBALL COMMENTARY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carl Landry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cleveland cavaliers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[free agency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[freeballinblog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[houston rockets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Larry Hughes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LeBron James]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[luis scola]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[michael mandlin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[michael redd]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[milwaukee bucks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nba]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[orlando magic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rashard Griffith]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ray allen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[salary cap incontinence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Seattle Supersonics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freeballinblog.com/?p=1013</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Most Rockets fans I chat with these days take it as a given that the Rockets will make every effort to re-sign Luis Scola this summer.  Now, as much as I like Scola, I don&#8217;t see why the Rockets would commit significant money or years to Scola when Carl Landry is going into the last [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Most Rockets fans I chat with these days take it as a given that the Rockets will make every effort to re-sign Luis Scola this summer.  Now, as much as I like Scola, I don&#8217;t see why the Rockets would commit significant money or years to Scola when Carl Landry is going into the last year of his contract.  But regardless of their interest, I think it highly unlikely Scola will be in Houston next year, because provided NBA teams come up with the necessary salary cap space, he is going to get a Larry Hughes contract.  In fact, I think you&#8217;re going to see a ton of Hughes contracts this summer, and a few key Michael Redd contracts, too.</p>
<p><strong>Background</strong></p>
<div>To jog your memory, in the summer of &#8217;05 the Cavs were looking for a sharpshooting guard to compliment LeBron&#8217;s He-Can-Do-Everything-But-Shoot game.  And as it happened, Ray Allen and Michael Redd were on the market (note: this is back when Redd had a full compliment of ligaments and cartilage).  At that point, Cavs management was still handling LeBron like a 15 year-old on a second date with a Playmate&#8212;the range of possible outcomes stretching from a happy future in plastics to wetting oneself.  And the Cavs wet themselves.</div>
<div>They offered Ray Allen the max, but he turned it down, taking the max in Seattle, instead.  So the Cavs made a big push for Michael Redd, offering him the max as well.  It would have been kind of like the Rashard Griffith deal in Orlando: hugely overpaying a player because he&#8217;s a great fit.  But Redd rejected the offer, staying with the Bucks for the max.  So the Cavs went out and signed Larry Hughes for $70 million over five years.  God that was a terrible move, and not just in hindsight.  Forget that Hughes had been an underachiever for his entire career until that contract year, the Cavs were looking for a shooter (they <em>proclaimed</em> it) and Hughes was a terrible shooter.  He made 28% from 3 that season (he&#8217;s currently at 31% for his career) and 43% overall.  And yes, his injuries while with the Cavs also played a role in his ineffectiveness, but considering that Hughes had only played 70 games in a season twice in his career to that point (they signed him after he managed only 61 games in the &#8217;04 &#8211; &#8217;05 season), his frailty was hardly a surprise.</div>
<div></div>
<div></div>
<div><strong>As Things Currently Stand</strong></div>
<div></div>
<div></div>
<div>As I&#8217;ve mentioned numerous times before, almost all NBA teams suffer from salary cap incontinence; they simply can&#8217;t hold on to cap space.  They <em>have</em> to spend it.  In this case, even though the Cavs had the rights to LeBron James for two more seasons, they felt pressured to make a splash and put some big talent (or what they believed to be big talent) next to him.  But importantly, the biggest problem wasn&#8217;t the absurd salary, it was the years.  A five year commitment?  Insane.  And you&#8217;ll see plenty of that insanity this summer, if possible.</div>
<div>The big question of the summer is whether teams will have enough cap space to spend as stupidly as they so desperately want to.  In a normal market, unusually tight budgets and an unusually large pool of talent should drive down the price of that talent.  And right now there are only a handful of teams that project to have enough cap space to get a max player.  But from the gazillionty WHAT IF? NBA articles clogging the internet tubes, it <em>seems</em> that there are numerous legitimately plausible options for teams to create significant cap space.  And if there&#8217;s anything we know about NBA teams, it&#8217;s that they will spend if they possibly can.  Tomorrow I&#8217;ll take a look at some of the spending opportunities, including the opportunity to stuff the pockets of a certain long-haired Argentinian</div>
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